Q&A
Negative consequences of administration's exit policies for asylum seekers
1:42:55
·
3 min
Sarita Subramanian explains IBO's assessment of the negative consequences of the administration's exit policies for asylum seekers.
- IBO included potential negative consequences for illustrative purposes, estimating up to $2 billion in costs
- Consequences include opportunity costs of missed work authorizations due to mail delivery issues
- Health care impacts associated with potential increase in street homelessness
- Additional bussing costs for students who may need to continue attending the same school despite family relocations
Justin Brannan
1:42:55
And IBO's estimate also assessed the negative consequences of the administration's exit policies.
1:43:01
Could you walk us through these and and their projected fiscal and and any other impacts?
Sarita Subramanian
1:43:06
Yes.
1:43:06
Thank you.
1:43:07
So, the reason why IBO included these negative consequences, was more for an illustrative exercise.
1:43:16
Since the administration has, put forth the exit policies as pure cost savers, you know, speaking with providers on the ground, we wanted to acknowledge the fact that there are some potential negative consequences.
1:43:30
And so, we provided some estimates up to, you know, roughly 2,000,000,000, but these are not, costs in the same way as our other cost projections, as some reflect, for example, opportunity costs.
1:43:45
So, we projected the opportunity cost of, missed work authorizations.
1:43:52
The comptroller's report, on the 60 day notices, documents very clearly and it's we've also heard, from providers on the ground that receiving mail, is very challenging given the exit requirements.
1:44:08
And so, we use Department of Labor data.
1:44:12
The Department of Labor surveyed businesses, to ask, how many positions could be filled by asylum seekers.
1:44:19
And so we use New York City specifically, Department of Labor data and focused on sectors that were, you know, largely minimum wage, sectors.
1:44:29
And we detailed that also in our methodology.
1:44:34
Another area we looked at was the health care impacts associated with street homelessness.
1:44:40
And so this, you know, we did a lot of, research on existing studies recognizing that, there really aren't directly comparable circumstances to what, we're experiencing, in this particular circumstance.
1:44:55
However, we were able to draw on a Boston a study from Boston, that identified the difference in health care costs for a sheltered versus unsheltered population.
1:45:06
And so, because the city does not track, individuals or families, after they, exit the shelter system, We, you know, used, data on the number of exit notices that have been given to, estimate, you know, that roughly 1 in 4 may experience street homelessness, and there might be, additional health care costs associated with that.
1:45:34
And then finally, because of the, exit requirements for families and given that, federal law allows students to stay, in the same school, there could be additional bussing costs.
1:45:47
So we, looked at the number of new bus requests that have been made and estimated, over the course of a year what might be the additional transportation cost, for students to continue to these costs may or may not be borne by government entities, but rather are, you know, the impacts might be felt on the larger New York community, whether it be the individuals or businesses or nonprofits, that might provide, services for asylum seekers.
