PRESENTATION
Projected increase in cancer rates and need for expanded capacity
0:39:12
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122 sec
Dr. Jeffrey Drebin, Chair of the Department of Surgery, presents data on the projected increase in cancer rates and the resulting need for expanded capacity at Memorial Sloan Kettering.
- Cancer rates are predicted to rise by 50% by 2050 across all age ranges
- One out of 3 women and 1 out of 2 men will get cancer in their lifetime
- MSK is currently at 100% occupancy on weekdays, highlighting the urgent need for expansion
Jeffrey Drebin
0:39:12
Thank you, Doctor.
0:39:12
Vickers.
0:39:13
I'm Jeff Dribbon, the Chair of the Department of Surgery.
0:39:16
I wanna thank chair Riley, council member, Menin, and the other members of the council for having us today.
0:39:24
I've been intimately involved in planning the Pavilion for a number of years, and this is really because we could see the need for increasing cancer care in New York.
0:39:34
If we could go to slide 2, please.
0:39:37
As Doctor.
0:39:37
Vickers noted, we're predicting the cancer rates will rise by 50%, by 2050, and I should emphasize not just we're predicting.
0:39:44
The CDC is predicting a variety of organizations of all in agreement.
0:39:49
Cancer rates are rising.
0:39:51
This bar graph shows current rates and future rates and what you can see in light blue are the current rates in dark blue, the future rates, and you can see it's gonna go up across every age range.
0:40:02
So different groups of bars range from the younger population under age fifty to the group over age eighty five.
0:40:10
And we know not only that we're going to see a 50% increase over the next 25 years, but that one out of 3 women and 1 out of 2 men will get cancer in their lifetime.
0:40:22
So everyone here can look around and look around them and know that cancer is gonna affect virtually all of us, all of our families, all of our loved ones.
0:40:32
And it's really to manage that growth in the cancer population that we ask for the permission to build the pavilion.
0:40:40
Right now, as Doctor.
0:40:41
Vickers mentioned, we're frequently at a 100% occupancy from Monday night until Friday night.
0:40:47
And over the weekend, we drop into the nineties and we go right back up again.
0:40:52
We're we're able to handle people who come to us for care now, but we won't be able to handle an increasing number in the coming years without improved facilities.
0:41:00
And I want to have Liz McNulty, who's director of acute care nursing, talked to us just briefly about what it's like to have such a challenge just getting patients in for care and managing them in a full hospital little.